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Islamic State Khorasan Province

TAP004  //  DTG: 121050ZDEC25  //   ANALYST:  REDACTED

THREAT ACTOR PROFILE

N34°10’  E70°10’  // NANGARHAR

Known Aliases

Naming conventions vary by forum and language. “ISIS-K” and “Isis-K” are used interchangeably in current security and diplomatic discourse, while “Khorasan” denotes the group’s regional framing and operating area as described in the sources.

Identity & Origins

ISIS-K is an Islamic State affiliate operating in the “Khorasan region” described as comprising Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Iran. It is also described as an Afghanistan-based offshoot of ISIS.

ISIS (the parent movement) is also known as ISIS, ISIL, and Daesh. Under its rule in Iraq and Syria, ISIS persecuted Christians and became notorious for brutality, including publicizing videos of beheadings of soldiers, journalists, and aid workers. These core ISIS characteristics shape the wider brand environment in which ISIS-K positions itself, even when ISIS-K-specific propaganda or doctrinal statements are not available in this dataset.

Since the Taliban’s return to power in Afghanistan in August 2021, the Taliban have been engaged in a conflict with IS-K for territorial control. Taliban counterterrorism pressure against ISIS-K has been described as a “ferocious crackdown”, and the Taliban have received occasional praise from the US for operations against Isis-Khorasan.

THREAT ASSESSMENT

ISIS-K is assessed as a sustained, capable regional threat with at least 2,000 fighters and is characterized as a major threat to the region. Its stated targeting priorities include the Shia community, Afghan officials, and foreign nationals, a profile that elevates risk for international Christian workers and faith-based NGOs operating as visible foreigners or alongside government-linked programs.

Operationally, ISIS-K has been tied to mass-casualty attack planning and execution in Afghanistan. The 26 August 2021 Abbey Gate attack at Hamid Karzai International Airport was a suicide bombing in which a bomber detonated an explosive belt at the airport gate, killing 13 U.S. service members and an estimated 170 Afghan civilians. Case reporting also describes alleged ISIS-K facilitation capabilities spanning reconnaissance, training, and attack support functions, including claims by an alleged ISIS-K member that he trained ISIS-K gunmen for a deadly 2024 concert-hall attack in Moscow.

Outside the region, U.S. authorities have pursued ISIS-K-related investigations and arrests. DHS arrested Afghan national Jaan Shah Safi in Waynesboro, Virginia for alleged ISIS-K support after he entered the United States in September 2021 under Operation Allies Welcome and allegedly provided material support to ISIS-K. For globally-networked ministries and NGOs, this reinforces the reputational and safeguarding importance of robust vetting and duty-of-care processes for partner access, beneficiary engagement, and staff travel—even when operating far from primary conflict theaters.

ISIS-K also features as a driver in state security diplomacy. International engagement with the Taliban has been partly linked to counterterrorism cooperation, specifically against ISIS-K, and Russia’s intensified counterterrorism interest in Afghanistan has been linked to the aftermath of the March 2024 Crocus City Hall attack in Moscow that killed more than 140 people.

THREAT ACTOR OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

ISIS-K operates within a conflict-pressured Afghan environment where the Taliban treat it as one of the regime’s deadliest opponents and conduct a crackdown against Isis-K. Despite this, ISIS-K remains regionally relevant and retains a defined target set that includes foreign nationals.

Wider South Asia logistics and facilitation concerns include claims that Islamist extremist networks, including ISIS-K, are expanding their footprint in South Asia by exploiting maritime routes, smuggling corridors, and financial channels. Separately, reporting alleges recruitment dynamics in Afghanistan where Taliban foot soldiers are being recruited into ISIS-K, underscoring the potential for fluid movement of individuals between armed ecosystems.

NOTABLE INCIDENTS

26 August 2021 – Hamid Karzai International Airport (Abbey Gate), Kabul, Afghanistan: An ISIS-K-linked attack at Abbey Gate was a suicide bombing in which a bomber detonated an explosive belt at the airport gate, killing 13 U.S. service members and an estimated 170 Afghan civilians.

Analytical significance: Demonstrated mass-casualty capability in a heavily secured environment and willingness to target dense civilian concentrations alongside international forces.

04 December 2025 – Waynesboro, Virginia, United States: DHS arrested Afghan national Jaan Shah Safi for alleged ISIS-K links after he entered the United States in September 2021 under Operation Allies Welcome and was described by DHS as a terrorist who provided material support to ISIS-K.

Analytical significance: Highlights transnational investigation concerns tied to alleged ISIS-K facilitation and support networks, relevant to diaspora-facing ministries and resettlement-adjacent services.

March 2024 – Crocus City Hall concert venue, Moscow, Russia: A major Islamic State-linked attack killed more than 140 people. An alleged ISIS-K member later claimed he trained ISIS-K gunmen for a deadly attack on a concert hall in Moscow in 2024.

Analytical significance: Reinforces the potential for ISIS-linked networks to support or inspire high-casualty attacks outside core battle areas; claim-level training linkage is case-specific and not independently substantiated here.

SECURITY IMPLICATIONS

Risk to Christian and Faith‑Based Actors

ISIS (the parent movement) has a documented record of persecution of Christians, and ISIS-K is assessed to target categories that include foreign nationals. For Christian organizations, foreign staff, and visibly international partners, “foreign national” targeting raises direct duty-of-care concerns even when Christians are not uniquely singled out in ISIS-K-specific targeting lists available here.

Faith-based medical and humanitarian operations can face elevated threat exposure when positioned near government sites, major transit nodes, or high-profile public venues. The Abbey Gate bombing illustrates willingness to strike crowded access points with an explosive belt suicide attack, a modality that can affect nearby clinics, aid distribution points, or church-administered relief services operating in proximity.

Kidnapping, Movement, and Operational Risk

Operational planning should account for the fact that ISIS-K is in active conflict with the Taliban for territorial control and remains a priority target of Taliban security operations described as a ferocious crackdown. This dynamic can produce unpredictable security conditions around checkpoints, transit corridors, and population centers where security services are conducting raids or heightened screening.

Strategic Considerations for Christian Stakeholders

Organizations operating in or linked to Afghanistan should treat ISIS-K as a persistent regional actor with at least 2,000 fighters and a target set that includes foreign nationals. Christian agencies with expatriate presence, cross-border programs, or high-visibility public-facing services should align posture to the reality of mass-casualty tactics demonstrated at Abbey Gate in Kabul.

Broader South Asia facilitation concerns include claims that ISIS-K is among networks expanding via maritime routes, smuggling corridors, and financial channels. For faith-based NGOs, this reinforces the safeguarding importance of partner due diligence and financial controls where cross-border logistics and informal channels may intersect with illicit facilitation ecosystems.

Finally, ISIS-K’s prominence in international counterterrorism diplomacy—where governments cite cooperation against ISIS-K as a factor—signals that operational access and regulatory conditions may shift rapidly. Humanitarian and ministry actors should anticipate changing permissioning, scrutiny, and movement constraints as states adjust engagement with Afghan authorities under counterterrorism pressures.

SOURCES

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