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Strategic Threat Assessment

The Strategic Threat Assessment is designed to help the ROAM community identify and understand emerging or long-term risks to Christians, churches, missionaries, or faith-based operations. Unlike time-sensitive alerts, this report provides a broader analysis of trends, actors, and warning signs that may lead to persecution, displacement, or operational disruption. It enables members to anticipate threats, prepare responses, and protect those carrying out the Great Commission in high-risk areas.


Escalating Vandalism and Theft Targeting Churches in Baden‐Württemberg

Escalating Vandalism and Theft Targeting Churches in Baden‐Württemberg

Theft and vandalism against churches and chapels in Baden‐Württemberg over the past year indicate a sustained and increasingly permissive operating environment for offenders.

Strategic Threat Assessment

Sentencing of 400 Mawozo Leader Joly Germine

Sentencing of 400 Mawozo Leader Joly Germine

The U.S. federal life sentence for alleged 400 Mawozo founder Joly Germine, convicted for orchestrating the 2021 kidnapping of 17 missionaries, is a significant legal victory but only marginally affects Haiti’s gang‐driven security crisis.

Strategic Threat Assessment

Targeting of Orthodox Religious Sites in Greece

Targeting of Orthodox Religious Sites in Greece

Orthodox Christian sites in Greece remained the overwhelmingly dominant targets of attacks on religious property in 2024, accounting for 399 of 412 recorded incidents (96.84%) despite an overall decline from 608 incidents in 2023, according to official data summarized by the General Secretariat for Religions.

Strategic Threat Assessment

Renewed Armed Herdsmen Attacks in Southern Taraba

Renewed Armed Herdsmen Attacks in Southern Taraba

Renewed armed herdsmen attacks across Southern Taraba have escalated into a sustained campaign of village destruction, mass displacement, and targeted killings in Wukari, Takum, and surrounding areas, with church leaders reporting abandoned parishes, occupied Christian settlements, and systematic assaults.

Strategic Threat Assessment

Recapture and Confessions of Ansaru/IS‐Linked Commander Abdulazeez “Bomboy” Obadaki

Recapture and Confessions of Ansaru/IS‐Linked Commander Abdulazeez “Bomboy” Obadaki

The recapture of Ansaru/ISWAP‐linked commander Abdulazeez Obadaki validates long‐standing assessments that Ansaru retained covert capability and cross‐regional networks despite years of perceived degradation.

Strategic Threat Assessment

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